Erin is expected to become a hurricane Friday, Aug. 15 and a major hurricane by Sunday morning. What Florida can expect from the storm.

The storm’s likely path is coming into focus, but a lot can still change. Here’s what the forecasters look at.

According to the NHC’s forecast track, the center of Erin is likely to move near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands over the weekend.

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(Update Aug 12) Likely to become first hurricane of season, Erin will send swell across the basin.

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