President Joe Biden pulled ahead of former President Donald Trump in FiveThirtyEight’s latest average of polls with the president leading in the last five national polls measured. Biden posted ...
Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 - Election Day - millions more will join them. Their votes this year will matter ...
Polls are more reliable in swing states, especially in the Sun Belt. Want to know who will win the 2024 presidential election? Flip a coin. The race is very likely to come down to seven key swing ...
If you go by betting odds, Trump is going to get a second opportunity to Make America Great Again. According to realclearpolling, Republican candidate Trump has a 59 percent chance of winning the ...
How can two polls say two different things? And can you even trust polls, anyway? Here at 538, we cover polls year-round, so we'd like to share with you some tips we've learned over the years ...
That's why we do things like publish ratings of pollster accuracy and transparency and make complex election forecasting ...
ToplineVice President Kamala Harris inched ahead of former President Donald Trump by the narrowest of margins in both polling ...
Despite pulling into the lead in two recent polls, Kari Lake still trails Ruben Gallego in polling averages and betting odds.